Sensex Prediction for Today – 18 June 2025 | Will the Recovery Continue ?
The Indian equity market ended on a cautious note on Tuesday, 17 June 2025, after Monday’s relief rally. The BSE Sensex slipped by 212.85 points to close at 81,583.30, down 0.26%, as broad-based selling across sectors resumed. Heavyweights like HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, and Reliance Industries dragged the index lower, offsetting gains from IT majors like Infosys and TCS.
Despite the red close, market sentiment remained largely sideways as investors awaited fresh domestic and global cues. While the index is still above short-term support levels, indecisiveness is clearly reflected in market breadth and volume trends.
Sensex Performance Recap – 17 June 2025
-
Closing Level: 81,583.30
-
Points Lost: -212.85
-
Percentage Change: -0.26%
-
Market Breadth: 21 out of 30 Sensex stocks ended in the red
Top Gainers :
-
Infosys (+0.99%)
-
TCS (+0.54%)
-
Tech Mahindra
-
Power Grid Corp
Tech and IT counters remained resilient, backed by positive global demand outlook and upcoming earnings optimism.
Top Losers :
-
Sun Pharma (-2.08%)
-
Tata Motors (-1.73%)
-
HDFC Bank (-0.5%)
-
ICICI Bank (-0.3%)
-
Reliance Industries (-0.46%)
Pharma and Auto faced selling pressure amid valuation concerns and weak guidance from export-heavy sectors.
Also Read :-https://bytethenews.in/stock-market-predictions-for-tomorrow-india-18-june-2025/
What Pressured the Market on 17 June 2025 ?
-
Profit Booking After Monday’s Rally:
Traders chose to lock in profits after Monday’s sharp up-move, especially in financial and FMCG sectors.
-
Lack of Strong Global Triggers:
Global cues remained muted. While oil stayed stable, no major catalyst emerged to sustain momentum.
-
Cautious Stance Before Fed Testimony:
Investors adopted a wait-and-watch approach ahead of U.S. Fed commentary expected mid-week.
Technical Outlook for Sensex – 18 June 2025
Sensex has now retraced from its recent high but remains within a short-term sideways channel. The failure to breach resistance at 82,104 on Tuesday keeps the trend neutral. RSI near 50 indicates indecision.
Key Support Levels :
-
81,024 – Immediate support
-
80,678 – Strong support zone
-
80,397 – Crucial trend support
Resistance Levels to Watch :
-
82,142 – Near-term resistance
-
82,488 – Key breakout level
-
83,014 – Major trend reversal mark
A close above 82,488 would be needed for a strong bullish confirmation.
Trader Strategy for 18 June 2025
-
Hold Longs with Stop-loss at 81,024: The index has not yet broken key support; hold positions with tight risk controls.
-
Buy on Breakout Above 82,142: A decisive close above this level can attract fresh buying and a move toward 83,000+.
-
Avoid Aggressive Shorts Unless Below 80,678: Only if Sensex breaks this critical support should fresh short positions be considered.
-
Watch for Sector Rotation: IT continues to show strength, but Pharma and Auto may stay weak.
-
Track Global Events: Fed remarks, oil price trends, and U.S. futures will influence early sentiment.
FAQs – Sensex Outlook for 18 June 2025
Q1. Why did Sensex fall on 17 June 2025 ?
The market corrected due to profit-booking after Monday’s rally and lack of strong global cues. Selling in banking, auto, and pharma stocks weighed on the index.
Q2. Can we expect a rebound today ?
A: Only if Sensex holds above 81,024 and manages a breakout above 82,142. Else, expect continued range-bound trade with mild bearish undertones.
Q3. Which sectors are showing strength ?
A: The IT sector remains a bright spot, with Infosys, TCS, and Tech Mahindra maintaining momentum. Select defensive FMCG names are also in favor.
Q4. Is it a good time to invest in Sensex stocks ?
A: For long-term investors, staggered buying in quality names is advisable. Short-term traders should wait for clear breakouts to avoid whipsaw losses.
Q5. What’s the best trading approach for today ?
A: Stay defensive, avoid over-leveraged trades, and keep an eye on 81,024 (support) and 82,488 (resistance). Use stop-losses strictly to manage risk.