Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow by Experts – 16 June 2025

by

Sensex Prediction for Tomorrow – 16 June 2025

The Indian stock market closed the week on a bearish note, with the BSE Sensex falling sharply by 573.4 points to settle at 81,118.60 on Friday, 13 June 2025. This marks the second consecutive session of steep losses as global uncertainty, a spike in crude oil prices, and ongoing geopolitical tensions weighed heavily on investor sentiment.

Amidst a global selloff triggered by tensions in the Middle East and concerns about U.S. inflation data, domestic equities witnessed broad-based selling pressure. Traders and investors alike moved to risk-off mode, resulting in significant losses across multiple sectors.

Sensex Performance Recap – 13 June 2025

  • Closing Level: 81,118.60

  • Points Lost: 573.4

  • Percent Change: -0.70%

  • Market Breadth: 26 of 30 Sensex stocks ended in the red

Top Losers:

  • Adani Ports

  • ITC

  • IndusInd Bank

  • SBI

  • HDFC Bank

These stocks saw declines ranging from 1% to 3% as pressure mounted on banking, FMCG, and infrastructure-related counters.

Top Gainers:

  • Tech Mahindra

  • TCS

  • Sun Pharma

  • Maruti Suzuki

Despite the overall bearish tone, select IT and pharma stocks offered some support to the index.

Also Read :-https://bytethenews.in/nifty-prediction-for-tomorrow-by-experts-16-june-2025/

 

What Led to the Market Decline ?

  1. Geopolitical Tensions:

    The Israel–Iran conflict escalated, prompting a surge in global oil prices. Higher crude prices are inflationary for India, being a net importer, which spooked market participants.

  2. FII Selling:

    Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) were net sellers for the third consecutive day, signaling reduced global appetite for Indian equities.

  3. Weak Global Cues:

    U.S. inflation worries and a sharp selloff in Asian markets triggered nervousness across emerging markets, including India.

  4. Profit Booking:

    After touching fresh highs recently, investors opted to lock in gains amid rising uncertainty.

Technical Analysis – Sensex Outlook for 16 June 2025

From a technical perspective, the Sensex has now fallen below critical short-term support levels, including the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), signaling a shift in trend from bullish to cautious.

Key Support Levels:

  • 81,256 – First line of defense

  • 80,821 – A break here may trigger further fall

  • 80,119 – Major downside target if correction deepens

Key Resistance Levels:

  • 81,453 – Immediate resistance

  • 81,788 – Medium resistance

  • 82,337 – Major hurdle for trend reversal

The short-term trend remains bearish unless Sensex reclaims 81,788–82,337 on a closing basis. A bounce from support may be possible if global cues turn favorable, but traders should remain cautious.

Strategy for Traders – 16 June 2025

Here are some tips and strategies traders should keep in mind for Monday’s market:

  • Avoid aggressive long positions until the market shows signs of reversal or stability near major support zones.

  • If the index breaches 80,821, look for shorting opportunities in weak sectors like banking or infrastructure.

  • Defensive sectors such as FMCG and Pharma may offer relatively safer bets in this volatile environment.

  • Watch crude oil prices, U.S. market cues, and Asian indices early Monday morning to anticipate direction.

  • Keep strict stop-loss levels in all trades, as volatility remains high.

 

Summary Snapshot

  • Sensex closed at 81,118.60, down 573 points on 13 June 2025.

  • Heavy FII selling, geopolitical issues, and crude price rise led to the decline.

  • Technical structure now favors bears below 81,788.

  • Major support exists at 80,821 and 80,119.

  • Market participants should remain cautious and selective.

FAQs – Sensex

Q1. Why did Sensex fall again on 13 June 2025 ?

The market dropped due to rising crude oil prices amid Middle East tensions, persistent FII selling, and weak global signals, triggering broad-based profit booking.

 

Q2. Will Sensex recover on 16 June ?

Recovery is possible only if global cues stabilize and the index manages to sustain above 81,453–81,788. Until then, sentiment remains bearish.

 

Q3. Which sectors are safest to trade in this market ?

Defensive sectors like FMCG and Pharma tend to hold better during periods of global uncertainty. Avoid banking and auto until stability returns.

 

Q4. What is the immediate support for Sensex ?

The nearest key support is at 80,821. A close below this may trigger more downside towards 80,119.

 

Q5. Is this a good time to invest in the market ?

Only long-term investors with a high-risk appetite and fundamental stock focus should consider dips. Others should wait for clearer reversal signals.

Leave a Comment