Nifty Prediction for Today – 16 June 2025 | Technical Outlook & Market Sentiment
The Indian stock market extended its losing streak on 13 June 2025, as bearish sentiment persisted across global and domestic fronts. The Nifty 50 index slipped further by 169.6 points, marking another day of weakness led by broad-based selling in banking, finance, and auto sectors. As we head into the new trading week on Monday, 16 June 2025, all eyes are on key support levels and any signs of a potential bounce.
Nifty Market Recap – 13 June 2025
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Closing Level: 24,718.60
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Day’s Loss: -169.6 points or -0.68%
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Market Breadth: 40 stocks declined, 10 advanced
Heavyweights like HDFC Bank (-1.33%), ICICI Bank (-0.64%), and Reliance Industries (-0.95%) dragged the index, as global geopolitical tensions and FII-led selling triggered panic in the market.
Top Losers on Nifty 50
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Adani Ports: -2.82%
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ITC: -1.69%
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SBI: -1.57%
These losses indicate sharp institutional outflows and a risk-off approach by investors.
Top Gainers on Nifty 50
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BEL (Bharat Electronics): +1.76%
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ONGC: +1.46%
Despite the red sea, a handful of stocks in the energy and defence space managed to close positively.
Also Read:-https://bytethenews.in/stock-market-predictions-for-tomorrow-india-16-june-2025/
Key Reasons Behind the Market Fall
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Geopolitical Tensions: Israel’s military action against Iran has spooked global markets. Crude oil surged and added inflation fears.
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FII Selling: Foreign investors continued to book profits, especially in large-cap and financial names.
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Technical Breakdown: Nifty slipped below both short-term and long-term EMAs, reflecting bearish momentum.
Nifty Technical Outlook for 16 June 2025
Technically, Nifty remains in a short-term bearish trend, especially after breaching the crucial 20-day EMA. The index has failed to hold the psychological level of 25,000 and now sits below critical support zones.
Support Levels :
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24,543
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24,367
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24,262
A close below 24,262 could trigger another wave of selling.
Resistance Levels:
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24,824
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24,930
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25,106
Only a decisive close above 24,930–25,106 would indicate a possible trend reversal.
Trading Strategy for Monday – 16 June 2025
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Avoid aggressive longs until Nifty reclaims 25,000+ levels with strong volume.
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Continue to hold short positions with a stop-loss at 24,882 (closing basis).
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Focus on sectors like FMCG and Energy for relatively safer trades.
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Use tight stop-losses as volatility is expected to remain high due to global cues.
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Watch for early signs of a rebound from global markets or stability in oil prices.
Sentiment Overview – Still in Risk-Off Mode
The market mood remains fragile due to:
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Escalating geopolitical risks
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Weak global equities
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FII outflows
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Technical weakness
The broader market is likely to remain under pressure unless strong positive triggers emerge.
Quick Summary: Nifty Prediction for 16 June 2025
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Nifty closed at 24,718, down 169.6 points on 13 June
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Bearish below 25,261; watch for signs of recovery above 24,930
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Major support lies at 24,543 and 24,262
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Traders advised to stay cautious and avoid aggressive trades
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Global developments will be key to early Monday sentiment
FAQs – Nifty
Q1. Why did Nifty fall on 13 June 2025 ?
Due to geopolitical tensions (Israel-Iran conflict), rising crude oil prices, and continued FII selling. Global uncertainty impacted investor confidence.
Q2. Will the market recover on 16 June 2025 ?
The recovery will depend on global cues and oil prices. A bounce is possible from support zones, but confirmation above 24,930 is essential.
Q3. What sectors look positive now ?
FMCG and selected energy stocks are showing relative strength. IT, auto, and banking remain under pressure.
Q4. What are the key support and resistance levels ?
Support: 24,543 – 24,367 – 24,262
Resistance: 24,824 – 24,930 – 25,106
Q5. Should I buy now or wait ?
It’s best to wait until Nifty gives a strong close above 24,930 or 25,000. Don’t catch a falling knife. Use stop-losses and follow strict discipline.